Guotai Junan: Pay attention to the investment opportunities in liquor, beverages, popular food and other fields. Guotai Junan Research Report pointed out that 1) Liquor: Determine ahead of growth, pay attention to the wholesale price trend and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. The report end of liquor industry began to enter the downward period in the second quarter of 2024, and the bottom shock is expected in the first half of 2025. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period. 2) Beer and beverage: the performance of beer is divided and the beverage structure is prosperous. In the third quarter of 2024, the number of trips in the summer peak season was stronger than the price, and the number of trips maintained a recovery and growth trend. The beverages with low-cost/high-frequency consumption characteristics benefited significantly and the demand resilience was prominent; The regional brand of beer performance differentiation is better than the national brand, and it is expected to be repaired under the low expectation in 2025. It is expected that the passive upgrading trend and regional brand advantages will continue. 3) Popular food: marginal improvement and structural differentiation. Mass food improved marginally in the third quarter, with obvious structural differentiation. The cost reduction is gradually reflected, low cost and low price become the trend, the advantages of high cost-effective products are highlighted, and the key layout is two ends; The valuation premium of growth stocks has been significantly digested, focusing on growth track snacks, and paying attention to adjusted condiments, catering supply chain and low valuation oversold and high dividend targets.Most gold stocks in Hong Kong stocks fell, and Lingbao Gold fell by nearly 5%. As of press time, Lingbao Gold (03330.HK) fell by 4.75%, Zijin Mining (02899.HK) fell by 2.82% and Zhaojin Mining (01818.HK) fell by 2.75%.Zheshang Securities: It does not rule out the possibility of lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates at the same time before the end of the year. Zheshang Securities research report said that this central economic work conference went further on the basis of the previous Politburo meeting, and clearly put forward "timely RRR reduction and interest rate reduction". Combined with the central bank's statement on the RRR reduction space in late September, it is expected that there will be a 50-basis-point RRR reduction before the end of the year, which will greatly promote interest rate reduction in the first quarter of next year, and even does not rule out the possibility of simultaneous RRR reduction and interest rate reduction before the end of the year. We are optimistic that the equity market and the bond market will step out of the double bull market in the process of gradual policy development.
The central parity of RMB against the US dollar was reported at 7.1876, down by 22 points; The median price of the previous trading day was 7.1854, the official closing price of the previous trading day was 7.2630, and it closed at 7.2700 last night.The Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Technology Index both fell more than 1%.Shanxi Securities: Sora officially launched the AI video generation tool, which continued to iterate. Shanxi Securities Research Report pointed out that 1) On December 10th, OpenAI officially launched Sora. Compared with the version released by OpenAI in February, the new Sora launched this time added Storyboard, Remix, Re-cut and other functions, which greatly improved the video re-creation ability and optimized the video generation speed and generation method. 2) Since the beginning of this year, domestic enterprises have begun to accelerate the research and development and iteration of AI video generation products, and the product capabilities have been continuously improved and the application scenarios have been continuously broadened. Sora was officially launched, and the video creation ability was significantly improved, and it began to change from a creative tool to a productivity tool. With the continuous iteration of AI video generation tools represented by Sora, its penetration into various application scenarios is expected to accelerate in the future. On the one hand, the application layer suggests focusing on creative, design, education and other multi-modal fields, especially video generation. On the other hand, the demand for computing power in video generation model is significantly higher than that in text, focusing on AI computing power related targets.
List of stock repurchases of Hong Kong stocks: 43 stocks were repurchased by the company. On December 12, a total of 43 Hong Kong stocks were repurchased by the company, and the repurchase amount of 8 stocks exceeded HK$ 10 million. Among them, Tencent Holdings, AIA and Samsonite have the largest repurchase amounts, with the company repurchasing HK$ 704 million, HK$ 61,711,300 and HK$ 34,247,500 respectively. As of December 12, 274 Hong Kong stocks have been repurchased by the company this year, and the cumulative repurchase amount of 62 stocks during the year exceeded HK$ 100 million. Among them, Tencent Holdings, HSBC Holdings and AIA have the largest cumulative repurchase amount during the year, with the company repurchasing HK$ 104.602 billion, HK$ 40.706 billion and HK$ 31.059 billion respectively.Foreign media: Trump "strongly opposes" Ukraine's use of American-made missiles to attack Russia's hinterland, and at the same time says that he will not give up Ukraine. According to Reuters's report, US President-elect Trump criticized Ukraine's use of American-made missiles to attack targets in Russia on the 12th local time, arguing that this has aggravated the escalation of the war between Russia and Ukraine. However, he also mentioned that he would not give up Ukraine. When talking about the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, Trump said in an interview, "What happened is crazy. This is crazy. I strongly object to launching missiles hundreds of miles into Russia. Why are we doing this? This will only escalate this war and make the situation worse. " According to the report, Trump hopes to end this "war" that lasted for nearly three years as soon as possible, but he is more cautious about revealing specific details. When asked if Kiev would cut its military and humanitarian aid to Ukraine if it did not agree to the peace agreement, Trump responded, "I think I have a very good plan to help Ukraine, but when I started to disclose this plan, it would almost become a worthless plan." In addition, when asked if he would give up Ukraine, Trump replied, "I hope to reach an agreement, and the only way to reach an agreement is not to give up." (World Wide Web)The T-shaped overpass with the longest and heaviest single span in China successfully turned and crossed Panxi Railway. According to The Paper, on the afternoon of December 11th, after 82 minutes of continuous construction, the T-shaped overpass with the longest and heaviest single span in China turned 52 degrees clockwise from Panxi Railway Vehicle Turning Station to Yangweishao Station under the jurisdiction of Kunming Bureau of China Railway, realizing a "gorgeous turn" and successfully completed the turn across Panxi Railway.
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14